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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.2x - 0.2x | 0.2x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.2x - 0.2x | 0.2x |
| Fair Value | $3.49 - $3.86 | $3.67 |
| Upside | 55.1% - 71.4% | 63.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Abercrombie & Fitch Co. | - | NYSE:ANF |
| Zumiez Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:ZUMZ |
| Urban Outfitters, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:URBN |
| Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:BOOT |
| The Gap, Inc. | - | NYSE:GAP |
| Tilly's, Inc. | - | NYSE:TLYS |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ANF | ZUMZ | URBN | BOOT | GAP | TLYS | |||
| NYSE:ANF | NasdaqGS:ZUMZ | NasdaqGS:URBN | NYSE:BOOT | NYSE:GAP | NYSE:TLYS | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 6.4% | -3.0% | 6.9% | 16.5% | -1.6% | -1.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 10.1% | -9.1% | 6.9% | 23.1% | -3.3% | -9.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.6% | 1.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 1.3% | -8.6% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.7% | -7.2% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 3.4% | -5.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.4% | -0.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | -8.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.4% | -0.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 5.6% | -8.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.4x | 13.2x | 8.3x | 12.6x | 6.8x | -6.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.8x | 0.3x | 0.9x | 1.8x | 0.5x | 0.1x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 6.7x | -167.4x | 12.1x | 18.9x | 9.5x | -1.5x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.8x | 1.8x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.4x | 0.6x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.2x | 0.2x | 0.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 569 | 569 | 569 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 103 | 109 | 114 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 30.2 | 30.2 | 30.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.42 | 3.60 | 3.78 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.42 | 3.60 | 3.78 | 2.25 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 52.2% | 60.2% | 68.2% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ANF | ZUMZ | URBN | BOOT | GAP | TLYS | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,814 | 287 | 4,855 | 3,262 | 8,015 | 68 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 50.4 | 19.2 | 92.3 | 30.6 | 374.9 | 30.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 75.72 | 14.97 | 52.61 | 106.61 | 21.38 | 2.25 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 75.72 | 14.97 | 52.61 | 106.61 | 21.38 | 2.25 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |