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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -40.6x - -44.8x | -42.7x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 104.3x - 115.3x | 109.8x |
Fair Value | $183.15 - $201.64 | $192.39 |
Upside | -17.5% - -9.1% | -13.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
HUB Cyber Security Ltd. | HUBC | NasdaqCM:HUBC |
International Business Machines Corporation | IBM | NYSE:IBM |
Teradata Corporation | TDC | NYSE:TDC |
Informatica Inc. | INFA | NYSE:INFA |
Palantir Technologies Inc. | PLTR | NasdaqGS:PLTR |
Snowflake Inc. | SNOW | NYSE:SNOW |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
HUBC | IBM | TDC | INFA | PLTR | SNOW | ||
NasdaqCM:HUBC | NYSE:IBM | NYSE:TDC | NYSE:INFA | NasdaqGS:PLTR | NYSE:SNOW | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 5.4% | 48.9% | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | 20.6% | -3.9% | 32.6% | NM- | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 59.6% | 1.8% | 47.3% | 60.1% | 106.2% | -22.2% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -624.9% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.6% | -26.2% | -55.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -146.4% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | -38.8% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -85.3% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | -39.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -85.3% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | -37.2% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.96x | 5.01x | 1.35x | 4.83x | 107.65x | 18.72x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -2.5x | 22.6x | 7.4x | 27.1x | 770.3x | -55.2x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -2.3x | 31.1x | 10.4x | 48.2x | 826.8x | -50.3x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -2.3x | 31.1x | 826.8x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -169.3x | -60.6x | -43.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -40.6x | -42.7x | -44.8x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | (1,429) | (1,429) | (1,429) | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 57,966 | 61,017 | 64,068 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 2,503 | 2,503 | 2,503 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 60,470 | 63,520 | 66,571 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 333.7 | 333.7 | 333.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 181.23 | 190.38 | 199.52 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 181.23 | 190.38 | 199.52 | 221.92 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -18.3% | -14.2% | -10.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | HUBC | IBM | TDC | INFA | PLTR | SNOW | |
Enterprise Value | 58 | 313,291 | 2,292 | 7,952 | 335,222 | 71,542 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3 | 17,465 | 368 | 1,252 | 5,431 | 3,911 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1,631 | 5 | 42 | 105 | 1,287 | |
(-) Debt | (40) | (66,835) | (588) | (1,857) | (245) | (2,688) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (72) | 0 | 0 | (95) | (7) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 21 | 265,480 | 2,077 | 7,389 | 340,417 | 74,045 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 10.0 | 909.4 | 95.6 | 303.4 | 2,359.9 | 333.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2.09 | 291.93 | 21.73 | 24.35 | 144.25 | 221.92 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.09 | 291.93 | 21.73 | 24.35 | 144.25 | 221.92 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |