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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 12.0% - 11.0% | 11.5% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 11.9x - 13.9x | 12.9x |
Fair Value | $29.59 - $37.81 | $33.63 |
Upside | -10.7% - 14.2% | 1.5% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 |
Revenue | 959 | 955 | 1,012 | 1,059 | 1,080 | 1,102 |
% Growth | 12.7% | -0.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 180 | 200 | 221 | 234 | 238 | 243 |
% of Revenue | 18.8% | 20.9% | 21.8% | 22.1% | 22.1% | 22.1% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 | |
EBITDA | 200 | 221 | 234 | 238 | 243 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (62) | (62) | (55) | (56) | (58) | |
EBIT | 138 | 159 | 178 | 182 | 186 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (18) | (21) | (23) | (24) | (24) | |
NOPAT | 110 | 120 | 138 | 155 | 158 | 161 |
Capital Expenditures | (24) | (25) | (27) | (25) | (20) | (20) |
NWC Investment | 29 | (1) | 16 | 13 | 6 | 6 |
(+) D&A | 54 | 62 | 62 | 55 | 56 | 58 |
Free Cash Flow | 169 | 155 | 189 | 198 | 200 | 205 |
% Growth | -8% | 22% | 5% | 1% | 2% |