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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.0x |
| Historical Pb Multiple | 0.7x - 1.4x | 1.0x |
| Fair Value | $35.73 - $39.50 | $37.62 |
| Upside | 1.2% - 11.8% | 6.5% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:CF |
| Nutrien Ltd. | - | NYSE:NTR |
| ICL Group Ltd | - | NYSE:ICL |
| Yara International ASA | - | OTCPK:YRAI.F |
| Methanex Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:MEOH |
| The Mosaic Company | - | NYSE:MOS |
| Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| CF | NTR | ICL | YRAI.F | MEOH | MOS | |||
| NYSE:CF | NYSE:NTR | NYSE:ICL | OTCPK:YRAI.F | NasdaqGS:MEOH | NYSE:MOS | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 19.8% | -7.4% | -3.0% | -52.8% | 13.3% | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 9.9% | -40.2% | -19.6% | -68.5% | -30.2% | -52.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.3% | -37.6% | -18.3% | 863.2% | 33.3% | -52.6% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 23.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 23.0% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 0.3% | 4.7% | 8.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 20.5% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 0.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 21.8% | 2.1% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | ||
| Return on Equity | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 33.6% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 28.3% | 4.9% | 11.5% | 0.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 26.1% | 2.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 10.6% | 3.1% | ||
| Next Fiscal Year | 25.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | ||
| Two Fiscal Years Forward | 26.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.4x | 1.1x | 1.3x | 0.7x | 0.7x | 1.0x | ||
| Price / LTM EPS | 11.0x | 53.8x | 22.4x | 32.1x | 11.9x | 30.5x | ||
| Price / Book | 3.1x | 1.2x | 1.5x | 1.2x | 1.2x | 1.0x | ||
| Price / Fwd Book | 3.5x | 1.1x | 1.5x | 1.2x | 1.2x | 0.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark P/B Ratio | 1.2x | 1.2x | 3.1x | |||||
| Historical P/B Ratio | 0.7x | 1.0x | 1.4x | |||||
| Selected P/B Multiple | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.1x | |||||
| (x) Book Value | 11,771 | 11,771 | 11,771 | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CF | NTR | ICL | YRAI.F | MEOH | MOS | |
| Value of Common Equity | 14,741 | 28,333 | 8,712 | 9,297 | 2,639 | 11,205 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 162.0 | 487.5 | 1,290.6 | 254.7 | 77.3 | 317.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 90.99 | 58.12 | 6.75 | 36.50 | 34.14 | 35.32 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 90.99 | 58.12 | 6.75 | 36.50 | 34.14 | 35.32 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |