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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 23.3x - 25.7x | 24.5x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 18.6x - 20.5x | 19.5x |
| Fair Value | $192.11 - $212.33 | $202.22 |
| Upside | -15.3% - -6.4% | -10.9% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | - | NYSE:AJG |
| Brown & Brown, Inc. | - | NYSE:BRO |
| Goosehead Insurance, Inc | - | NasdaqGS:GSHD |
| The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:BWIN |
| Tian Ruixiang Holdings Ltd | - | NasdaqCM:TIRX |
| Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | - | NYSE:MMC |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| AJG | BRO | GSHD | BWIN | TIRX | MMC | |||
| NYSE:AJG | NYSE:BRO | NasdaqGS:GSHD | NasdaqGS:BWIN | NasdaqCM:TIRX | NYSE:MMC | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 16.9% | 19.7% | 53.5% | NM- | NM- | 18.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 17.3% | 19.5% | 77.9% | NM- | NM- | 8.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 42.8% | 11.4% | 93.0% | 40.9% | -62.5% | 3.1% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.3% | 19.7% | 8.5% | -8.9% | -157.9% | 15.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 20.4% | 5.4% | -7.4% | -197.2% | 16.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 13.4% | 20.8% | 9.7% | -1.8% | -123.8% | 16.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.9% | 21.0% | 9.5% | -1.8% | -123.8% | 16.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 22.4x | 21.2x | 36.3x | 26.2x | 4.6x | 18.0x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 7.7x | 6.6x | 11.8x | 3.3x | 4.4x | 4.5x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 55.6x | 31.4x | 82.7x | -86.5x | -3.6x | 27.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -86.5x | 31.4x | 82.7x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 24.2x | 27.0x | 32.3x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 23.3x | 24.5x | 25.7x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 4,041 | 4,041 | 4,041 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 94,099 | 99,052 | 104,004 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 492.7 | 492.7 | 492.7 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 190.98 | 201.03 | 211.08 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 190.98 | 201.03 | 211.08 | 226.85 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -15.8% | -11.4% | -7.0% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AJG | BRO | GSHD | BWIN | TIRX | MMC | |
| Value of Common Equity | 86,608 | 31,905 | 2,589 | 2,742 | 14 | 111,775 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 256.1 | 286.6 | 25.1 | 70.6 | 10.2 | 492.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 338.18 | 111.32 | 103.32 | 38.82 | 1.42 | 226.85 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 338.18 | 111.32 | 103.32 | 38.82 | 1.42 | 226.85 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |