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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -479.2x - -529.7x | -504.4x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 31.9x - 35.2x | 33.6x |
Fair Value | $6.75 - $7.46 | $7.10 |
Upside | -25.8% - -18.0% | -21.9% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Travel + Leisure Co. | - | NYSE:TNL |
Starbucks Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:SBUX |
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | - | NYSE:VAC |
Red Rock Resorts, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:RRR |
Wingstop Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:WING |
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation | - | NYSE:LUCK |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
TNL | SBUX | VAC | RRR | WING | LUCK | |||
NYSE:TNL | NasdaqGS:SBUX | NYSE:VAC | NasdaqGS:RRR | NasdaqGS:WING | NYSE:LUCK | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -5.0% | 0.9% | 9.6% | NM- | 39.6% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 6.5% | -3.6% | 64.5% | -14.0% | 36.6% | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -2.3% | -24.7% | 6.1% | -10.4% | 106.9% | -101.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 6.9% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 13.3% | 14.7% | -8.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 5.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 17.4% | -8.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 26.5% | -0.1% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.2x | 20.2x | 11.4x | 8.1x | 50.2x | 14.9x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.9x | 2.7x | 0.7x | 2.5x | 13.2x | 1.1x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 8.7x | 31.7x | 10.9x | 17.9x | 50.0x | -820.1x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 8.7x | 17.9x | 50.0x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -29.7x | -15.2x | 21.9x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | -479.2x | -504.4x | -529.7x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | (2) | (2) | (2) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 745 | 784 | 823 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 140.2 | 140.2 | 140.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 5.31 | 5.59 | 5.87 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.31 | 5.59 | 5.87 | 9.09 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -41.6% | -38.5% | -35.4% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TNL | SBUX | VAC | RRR | WING | LUCK | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,367 | 99,162 | 2,465 | 2,796 | 8,600 | 1,274 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 66.4 | 1,136.4 | 34.5 | 59.3 | 27.9 | 140.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 50.71 | 87.26 | 71.39 | 47.15 | 308.21 | 9.09 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 50.71 | 87.26 | 71.39 | 47.15 | 308.21 | 9.09 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |