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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.3% - 7.2% | 7.8% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 10.3x - 12.3x | 11.3x |
Fair Value | $126.96 - $150.86 | $138.68 |
Upside | -12.2% - 4.4% | -4.1% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Oct-24 | Oct-25 | Oct-26 | Oct-27 | Oct-28 | Oct-29 |
Revenue | 4,979 | 5,239 | 5,563 | 5,912 | 6,399 | 6,755 |
% Growth | -8.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
EBITDA | 1,114 | 1,490 | 1,662 | 1,873 | 2,091 | 2,275 |
% of Revenue | 22.4% | 28.4% | 29.9% | 31.7% | 32.7% | 33.7% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Oct-25 | Oct-26 | Oct-27 | Oct-28 | Oct-29 | |
EBITDA | 1,490 | 1,662 | 1,873 | 2,091 | 2,275 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (124) | (117) | (180) | (195) | (206) | |
EBIT | 1,366 | 1,544 | 1,693 | 1,896 | 2,069 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (259) | (293) | (322) | (360) | (393) | |
NOPAT | 684 | 1,106 | 1,251 | 1,371 | 1,536 | 1,676 |
Capital Expenditures | (154) | (150) | (160) | (159) | (160) | (169) |
NWC Investment | 97 | (52) | (65) | (70) | (97) | (71) |
(+) D&A | 270 | 124 | 117 | 180 | 195 | 206 |
Free Cash Flow | 897 | 1,029 | 1,143 | 1,322 | 1,473 | 1,642 |
% Growth | 15% | 11% | 16% | 11% | 11% |