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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 1.0x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 0.5x - 1.1x | 1.0x |
Fair Value | $30.35 - $33.54 | $31.95 |
Upside | 10.7% - 22.3% | 16.5% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Five Point Holdings, LLC | - | NYSE:FPH |
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. | - | NYSE:HHH |
Douglas Elliman Inc. | - | NYSE:DOUG |
Tejon Ranch Co. | - | NYSE:TRC |
Kid Castle Educational Corporation | - | OTCPK:KDCE |
Forestar Group Inc. | - | NYSE:FOR |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
FPH | HHH | DOUG | TRC | KDCE | FOR | |||
NYSE:FPH | NYSE:HHH | NYSE:DOUG | NYSE:TRC | OTCPK:KDCE | NYSE:FOR | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 51.0% | 31.1% | NM- | -24.0% | NM- | 43.9% | ||
3Y CAGR | 122.0% | 72.1% | NM- | -20.5% | NM- | 22.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 46.2% | 132.0% | 1.6% | -141.8% | 313.2% | -16.3% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 28.5% | -5.6% | -1.5% | 8.6% | -388.4% | 10.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 26.0% | 9.2% | -4.5% | 7.3% | 19.9% | 11.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 28.7% | 16.3% | -7.7% | 6.4% | 74.8% | 13.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 39.4% | 14.6% | -6.0% | -1.2% | -285.9% | 10.5% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.7% | 3.9% | -4.8% | 1.2% | 32.5% | 12.3% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 2.5% | -17.1% | 0.7% | 29.4% | 13.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 10.5% | 7.8% | -37.0% | -0.1% | 52.0% | 10.2% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 11.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 0.8% | 186.2% | 8.8% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 25.4% | 5.9% | 24.7% | 0.5% | 65.1% | 8.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 4.3x | 2.5x | 0.2x | 10.2x | 0.0x | 0.9x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 5.1x | 17.2x | -3.7x | -874.4x | 0.0x | 8.6x | ||
Price / Book | 1.1x | 1.2x | 1.7x | 1.0x | 0.0x | 0.8x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 0.5x | 1.5x | 1.3x | 1.0x | 0.0x | 0.8x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.0x | 1.1x | 1.7x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 0.5x | 1.0x | 1.1x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 0.9x | 1.0x | 1.0x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 1,679 | 1,679 | 1,679 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | FPH | HHH | DOUG | TRC | KDCE | FOR | |
Value of Common Equity | 394 | 4,443 | 230 | 463 | 0 | 1,394 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 69.9 | 59.4 | 88.7 | 26.9 | 22.3 | 50.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 5.64 | 74.80 | 2.59 | 17.20 | 0.00 | 27.42 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.64 | 74.80 | 2.59 | 17.20 | 0.00 | 27.42 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |