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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 10.5% - 9.5% | 10.0% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 7.1x - 9.1x | 8.1x |
Fair Value | $43.99 - $60.79 | $52.22 |
Upside | 4.3% - 44.1% | 23.8% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 4,246 | 4,153 | 4,502 | 4,685 | 5,007 | 5,894 |
% Growth | -5.4% | -2.2% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 17.7% |
EBITDA | 811 | 899 | 1,000 | 1,025 | 1,104 | 1,373 |
% of Revenue | 19.1% | 21.7% | 22.2% | 21.9% | 22.0% | 23.3% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 899 | 1,000 | 1,025 | 1,104 | 1,373 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (182) | (164) | (154) | (199) | (236) | |
EBIT | 717 | 836 | 871 | 906 | 1,137 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (108) | (125) | (131) | (136) | (171) | |
NOPAT | 540 | 610 | 711 | 740 | 770 | 966 |
Capital Expenditures | (68) | (110) | (129) | (135) | (143) | (150) |
NWC Investment | 135 | 52 | (196) | (103) | (181) | (498) |
(+) D&A | 176 | 182 | 164 | 154 | 199 | 236 |
Free Cash Flow | 783 | 734 | 550 | 657 | 645 | 554 |
% Growth | -6% | -25% | 19% | -2% | -14% |