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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.3x - 1.5x | 1.4x |
| Historical Pb Multiple | 1.1x - 2.0x | 1.6x |
| Fair Value | $7.93 - $8.77 | $8.35 |
| Upside | 10.0% - 21.6% | 15.8% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| CVR Partners, LP | - | NYSE:UAN |
| Albemarle Corporation | - | NYSE:ALB |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:CF |
| Nutrien Ltd. | - | NYSE:NTR |
| Yara International ASA | - | OTCPK:YRAI.F |
| Ecovyst Inc. | - | NYSE:ECVT |
| Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| UAN | ALB | CF | NTR | YRAI.F | ECVT | |||
| NYSE:UAN | NYSE:ALB | NYSE:CF | NYSE:NTR | OTCPK:YRAI.F | NYSE:ECVT | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 19.8% | -7.4% | -52.8% | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -8.0% | NM- | 9.9% | -40.2% | -68.5% | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -9.3% | -501.3% | 15.3% | -37.6% | 863.2% | -115.5% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.8% | 12.4% | 23.1% | 8.5% | 4.8% | -10.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 25.3% | 16.4% | 23.0% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 10.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.6% | -24.5% | 20.5% | 2.7% | 0.1% | -0.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.0% | -25.7% | 21.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | -1.6% | ||
| Return on Equity | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 27.9% | 11.7% | 33.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 4.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 48.3% | 18.1% | 28.3% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 10.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 25.2% | -15.3% | 26.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | -1.6% | ||
| Next Fiscal Year | 28.0% | -2.3% | 26.1% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | ||
| Two Fiscal Years Forward | 26.9% | 2.7% | 25.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.6x | 1.3x | 2.2x | 1.1x | 0.6x | 1.2x | ||
| Price / LTM EPS | 11.6x | -5.2x | 10.0x | 51.4x | 28.9x | -73.8x | ||
| Price / Book | 2.9x | 0.9x | 2.8x | 1.1x | 1.1x | 1.2x | ||
| Price / Fwd Book | 2.9x | 0.9x | 3.2x | 1.1x | 1.1x | 1.1x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.9x | 1.1x | 2.9x | |||||
| Historical P/B Ratio | 1.1x | 1.6x | 2.0x | |||||
| Selected P/B Multiple | 1.3x | 1.4x | 1.5x | |||||
| (x) Book Value | 699 | 699 | 699 | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | UAN | ALB | CF | NTR | YRAI.F | ECVT | |
| Value of Common Equity | 877 | 6,816 | 13,351 | 27,119 | 8,307 | 846 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 10.6 | 117.7 | 162.0 | 487.5 | 254.7 | 117.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 82.94 | 57.93 | 82.41 | 55.63 | 32.61 | 7.21 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 82.94 | 57.93 | 82.41 | 55.63 | 32.61 | 7.21 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |