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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 2.2x - 2.4x | 2.3x |
| Historical Pb Multiple | 1.4x - 6.2x | 3.3x |
| Fair Value | $13.86 - $15.32 | $14.59 |
| Upside | 21.1% - 33.8% | 27.5% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| The Mosaic Company | - | NYSE:MOS |
| Fortitude Gold Corporation | - | OTCPK:FTCO |
| Steel Dynamics, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:STLD |
| Royal Gold, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:RGLD |
| Worthington Steel, Inc. | - | NYSE:WS |
| Compass Minerals International, Inc. | - | NYSE:CMP |
| Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| MOS | FTCO | STLD | RGLD | WS | CMP | |||
| NYSE:MOS | OTCPK:FTCO | NasdaqGS:STLD | NasdaqGS:RGLD | NYSE:WS | NYSE:CMP | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 18.0% | 28.8% | NM- | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -52.5% | NM- | -21.8% | 6.6% | -3.3% | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -85.0% | -112.0% | -37.3% | 38.7% | -35.9% | -138.4% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.9% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 40.9% | 4.8% | -5.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 23.3% | 13.0% | 40.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.6% | -5.5% | 8.8% | 46.6% | 4.5% | -18.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.6% | -5.5% | 8.8% | 46.6% | 3.4% | -14.3% | ||
| Return on Equity | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.3% | 10.7% | 34.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | -4.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.6% | 14.4% | 28.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 2.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.5% | -1.8% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | -42.8% | ||
| Next Fiscal Year | 6.5% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 33.8% | ||
| Two Fiscal Years Forward | 6.8% | 15.1% | 20.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 27.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.8x | 2.4x | 1.0x | 17.1x | 0.4x | 0.4x | ||
| Price / LTM EPS | 49.3x | -43.7x | 11.5x | 36.6x | 11.4x | -3.1x | ||
| Price / Book | 0.8x | 0.8x | 2.0x | 3.9x | 1.2x | 1.8x | ||
| Price / Fwd Book | 0.7x | 0.7x | 1.9x | 3.5x | 1.1x | 1.1x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.8x | 1.2x | 3.9x | |||||
| Historical P/B Ratio | 1.4x | 3.3x | 6.2x | |||||
| Selected P/B Multiple | 2.2x | 2.3x | 2.4x | |||||
| (x) Book Value | 263 | 263 | 263 | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MOS | FTCO | STLD | RGLD | WS | CMP | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,621 | 79 | 17,021 | 12,235 | 1,198 | 475 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 316.9 | 24.2 | 149.9 | 65.8 | 50.7 | 41.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 27.20 | 3.29 | 113.55 | 185.92 | 23.61 | 11.45 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 27.20 | 3.29 | 113.55 | 185.92 | 23.61 | 11.45 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |