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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 15.8x - 17.4x | 16.6x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 15.6x - 17.3x | 16.4x |
Fair Value | $327.11 - $361.54 | $344.32 |
Upside | -19.4% - -10.9% | -15.1% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | - | NYSE:WAB |
Ingersoll Rand Inc. | - | NYSE:IR |
AGCO Corporation | - | NYSE:AGCO |
Crane Company | - | NYSE:CR |
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:ALSN |
Caterpillar Inc. | - | NYSE:CAT |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
WAB | IR | AGCO | CR | ALSN | CAT | |||
NYSE:WAB | NYSE:IR | NYSE:AGCO | NYSE:CR | NYSE:ALSN | NYSE:CAT | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 26.5% | 53.8% | NM- | 15.0% | 3.9% | 12.1% | ||
3Y CAGR | 23.6% | 17.2% | NM- | 10.8% | 18.3% | 18.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 20.5% | 0.4% | -152.6% | 60.9% | 12.2% | -11.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 12.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 8.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 22.2% | 15.4% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 11.6% | -3.6% | 12.6% | 22.7% | 16.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 10.5% | 11.3% | -5.4% | 13.2% | 23.5% | 15.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.4x | 20.1x | 10.0x | 25.6x | 8.3x | 15.3x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 3.5x | 4.9x | 0.7x | 4.9x | 2.4x | 3.0x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 33.1x | 43.6x | -13.9x | 37.0x | 10.2x | 19.2x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -13.9x | 33.1x | 43.6x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 16.4x | 16.9x | 29.8x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 15.8x | 16.6x | 17.4x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 9,939 | 9,939 | 9,939 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 156,827 | 165,081 | 173,335 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 470.3 | 470.3 | 470.3 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 333.45 | 351.00 | 368.55 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 333.45 | 351.00 | 368.55 | 405.77 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -17.8% | -13.5% | -9.2% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | WAB | IR | AGCO | CR | ALSN | CAT | |
Value of Common Equity | 36,445 | 35,359 | 8,082 | 10,802 | 7,641 | 190,840 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 171.1 | 403.5 | 74.6 | 57.5 | 84.3 | 470.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 212.97 | 87.64 | 108.33 | 187.85 | 90.69 | 405.77 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 212.97 | 87.64 | 108.33 | 187.85 | 90.69 | 405.77 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |