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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 9.5% - 8.5% | 9.0% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 43.6x - 45.6x | 44.6x |
Fair Value | ₹124.32 - ₹134.94 | ₹129.55 |
Upside | -5.3% - 2.8% | -1.3% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(INR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 |
Revenue | 388 | 466 | 524 | 563 | 583 | 595 |
% Growth | 46.7% | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 88 | 37 | 54 | 64 | 66 | 68 |
% of Revenue | 22.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(INR in millions) | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 | |
EBITDA | 37 | 54 | 64 | 66 | 68 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (48) | (54) | (58) | (60) | (61) | |
EBIT | (11) | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 | |
Pro forma Taxes | 0 | (0) | (1) | (1) | (1) | |
NOPAT | 58 | (11) | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Capital Expenditures | (24) | (29) | (33) | (35) | (37) | (37) |
NWC Investment | (68) | (42) | (32) | (22) | (11) | (6) |
(+) D&A | 18 | 48 | 54 | 58 | 60 | 61 |
Free Cash Flow | (16) | (35) | (10) | 6 | 18 | 23 |
% Growth | NM | NM | NM | 189% | 28% |