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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.8% - 7.8% | 8.3% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 2.7x - 3.0x | 2.8x |
Fair Value | ₹105.64 - ₹112.69 | ₹109.11 |
Upside | 20.2% - 28.2% | 24.1% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(INR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 |
Revenue | 280 | 280 | 280 | 280 | 280 | 280 |
% Growth | -1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
EBITDA | 54 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 62 |
% of Revenue | 19.4% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 22.2% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(INR in millions) | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 | |
EBITDA | 62 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 62 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (6) | (6) | (6) | (6) | (6) | |
EBIT | 57 | 57 | 57 | 57 | 57 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (12) | (12) | (12) | (12) | (12) | |
NOPAT | 39 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 |
Capital Expenditures | (22) | (11) | (11) | (15) | (15) | (15) |
NWC Investment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Free Cash Flow | 22 | 39 | 39 | 35 | 35 | 35 |
% Growth | 78% | 0% | -9% | 0% | 0% |