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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 10.0% - 9.0% | 9.5% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 13.5x - 15.5x | 14.5x |
Fair Value | ₹54.54 - ₹63.13 | ₹58.76 |
Upside | 12.9% - 30.7% | 21.6% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(INR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 |
Revenue | 17,019 | 19,146 | 20,582 | 21,303 | 21,729 | 22,163 |
% Growth | 19.7% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 1,545 | 2,079 | 2,440 | 2,526 | 2,576 | 2,628 |
% of Revenue | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(INR in millions) | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 | |
EBITDA | 2,079 | 2,440 | 2,526 | 2,576 | 2,628 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (280) | (301) | (311) | (317) | (324) | |
EBIT | 1,799 | 2,140 | 2,215 | 2,259 | 2,304 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (342) | (407) | (421) | (429) | (438) | |
NOPAT | 1,107 | 1,457 | 1,733 | 1,794 | 1,830 | 1,866 |
Capital Expenditures | (714) | (661) | (711) | (736) | (750) | (765) |
NWC Investment | (333) | (253) | (171) | (86) | (51) | (52) |
(+) D&A | 179 | 280 | 301 | 311 | 317 | 324 |
Free Cash Flow | 239 | 823 | 1,152 | 1,284 | 1,346 | 1,373 |
% Growth | 245% | 40% | 11% | 5% | 2% |