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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 9.3% - 8.3% | 8.8% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 14.6x - 16.6x | 15.6x |
Fair Value | ₹138.32 - ₹156.60 | ₹147.29 |
Upside | -12.0% - -0.4% | -6.3% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(INR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 | Mar-30 |
Revenue | 1,458 | 1,458 | 1,458 | 1,458 | 1,458 | 1,458 |
% Growth | -9.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
EBITDA | 195 | 285 | 285 | 285 | 285 | 285 |
% of Revenue | 13.4% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 19.6% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(INR in millions) | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 | Mar-30 | |
EBITDA | 285 | 285 | 285 | 285 | 285 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (41) | (41) | (41) | (41) | (41) | |
EBIT | 244 | 244 | 244 | 244 | 244 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (63) | (63) | (63) | (63) | (63) | |
NOPAT | 96 | 181 | 181 | 181 | 181 | 181 |
Capital Expenditures | (43) | (67) | (67) | (67) | (67) | (67) |
NWC Investment | (5) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 65 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 |
Free Cash Flow | 114 | 155 | 155 | 155 | 155 | 155 |
% Growth | 37% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |