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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.6x - 1.8x | 1.7x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.8x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
Fair Value | ₹12.78 - ₹32.97 | ₹22.88 |
Upside | -64.6% - -8.8% | -36.7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Prima Agro Limited | 519262 | BSE:519262 |
Hindustan Foods Limited | HNDFDS | NSEI:HNDFDS |
SKM Egg Products Export (India) Limited | SKMEGGPROD | NSEI:SKMEGGPROD |
Euro India Fresh Foods Limited | EIFFL | NSEI:EIFFL |
Dhampur Bio Organics Limited | DBOL | NSEI:DBOL |
McLeod Russel India Limited | MCLEODRUSS | NSEI:MCLEODRUSS |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
519262 | HNDFDS | SKMEGGPROD | EIFFL | DBOL | MCLEODRUSS | |||
BSE:519262 | NSEI:HNDFDS | NSEI:SKMEGGPROD | NSEI:EIFFL | NSEI:DBOL | NSEI:MCLEODRUSS | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -2.4% | 41.1% | 16.0% | 9.2% | NM- | -8.0% | ||
3Y CAGR | -7.3% | 25.1% | 37.6% | 4.2% | NM- | -7.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -18.0% | 25.3% | -25.2% | 12.9% | -15.6% | 4.1% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 10.1% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | -1.3% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 10.8% | 5.3% | 17.3% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 2.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 3.5% | 6.1% | 16.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | -15.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -24.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | -8.4% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.50x | 2.21x | 0.97x | 3.52x | 0.52x | 1.85x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | -2.0x | 37.4x | 11.8x | 58.6x | 16.7x | -22.1x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.12x | 1.99x | 0.97x | 3.23x | 0.23x | 0.31x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.50x | 0.97x | 3.52x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.55x | 1.71x | 1.86x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.63x | 1.72x | 1.80x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 12,149 | 12,149 | 12,149 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 19,830 | 20,874 | 21,917 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (18,696) | (18,696) | (18,696) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,134 | 2,178 | 3,222 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 104.5 | 104.5 | 104.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 10.86 | 20.85 | 30.84 | |||||
FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 10.86 | 20.85 | 30.84 | 36.14 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -70.0% | -42.3% | -14.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 519262 | HNDFDS | SKMEGGPROD | EIFFL | DBOL | MCLEODRUSS | |
Enterprise Value | 52 | 74,569 | 5,271 | 4,753 | 9,803 | 22,471 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 127 | 707 | 1,435 | 2 | 333 | 146 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (61) | (8,105) | (1,460) | (386) | (5,727) | (18,842) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 118 | 67,170 | 5,246 | 4,370 | 4,408 | 3,775 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 5.2 | 117.5 | 26.3 | 24.8 | 66.4 | 104.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 22.77 | 571.65 | 199.24 | 176.19 | 66.40 | 36.14 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 22.77 | 571.65 | 199.24 | 176.19 | 66.40 | 36.14 | |
Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |