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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 42.2x - 46.6x | 44.4x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 37.3x - 41.3x | 39.3x |
Fair Value | ₹7.75 - ₹8.58 | ₹8.17 |
Upside | -7.0% - 2.9% | -2.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Trans India House Impex Limited | 523752 | BSE:523752 |
Dhoot Industrial Finance Limited | 526971 | BSE:526971 |
Pulsar International Limited | 512591 | BSE:512591 |
Genpharmasec Limited | 531592 | BSE:531592 |
Hariyana Ship Breakers Limited | 526931 | BSE:526931 |
Goyal Aluminiums Limited | GOYALALUM | NSEI:GOYALALUM |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
523752 | 526971 | 512591 | 531592 | 526931 | GOYALALUM | ||
BSE:523752 | BSE:526971 | BSE:512591 | BSE:531592 | BSE:526931 | NSEI:GOYALALUM | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 104.8% | NM- | NM- | -13.3% | 23.7% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | 67.5% | NM- | -74.2% | -31.1% | 96.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1067.8% | -37.8% | NM | 145.6% | -23.8% | -15.6% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -2.2% | 50.0% | -29.7% | 1.5% | 14.7% | 3.2% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 8.8% | 25.8% | 35.9% | 1.1% | 14.2% | 5.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 4.8% | 82.6% | 12.6% | 0.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 11.2% | 71.8% | NA | 1.8% | 78.5% | 3.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.82x | 0.22x | 2.25x | 3.64x | 9.61x | 1.40x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.3x | 0.3x | 26.1x | 201.2x | 12.2x | 45.9x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 16.3x | 0.3x | 23.3x | 206.7x | 15.8x | 51.8x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.3x | 16.3x | 201.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.4x | 39.3x | 142.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 42.2x | 44.4x | 46.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 26 | 26 | 26 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,105 | 1,163 | 1,221 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (16) | (16) | (16) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,089 | 1,147 | 1,205 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 142.7 | 142.7 | 142.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 7.63 | 8.03 | 8.44 | ||||
FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7.63 | 8.03 | 8.44 | 8.34 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -8.6% | -3.7% | 1.2% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 523752 | 526971 | 512591 | 531592 | 526931 | GOYALALUM | |
Enterprise Value | 821 | 315 | 706 | 1,089 | 790 | 1,207 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 0 | 1,546 | 1 | 38 | 10 | 0 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (307) | (230) | 0 | (49) | (155) | (17) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 514 | 1,631 | 707 | 1,078 | 645 | 1,190 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 35.5 | 6.3 | 71.4 | 533.7 | 6.2 | 142.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 14.46 | 258.15 | 9.90 | 2.02 | 104.60 | 8.34 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14.46 | 258.15 | 9.90 | 2.02 | 104.60 | 8.34 | |
Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |