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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 9.8% - 8.8% | 9.3% |
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 4.0% - 5.0% | 4.5% |
Fair Value | ₹128.42 - ₹181.53 | ₹149.39 |
Upside | -30.5% - -1.7% | -19.1% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
(INR in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 | |
Revenue | 401 | 451 | 485 | 502 | 512 | 522 | |
% Growth | 20.1% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | |
EBITDA | 81 | 106 | 119 | 123 | 126 | 128 | |
% of Revenue | 20.2% | 23.6% | 24.6% | 24.6% | 24.6% | 24.6% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
(INR in millions) | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 | Terminal | |
EBITDA | 106 | 119 | 123 | 126 | 128 | 128 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (2) | |
EBIT | 104 | 117 | 121 | 123 | 126 | 126 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (27) | (30) | (31) | (32) | (33) | (33) | |
NOPAT | 59 | 77 | 86 | 89 | 91 | 93 | 93 |
Capital Expenditures | (1) | (2) | (2) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) |
NWC Investment | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
(+) D&A | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Free Cash Flow | 65 | 81 | 89 | 91 | 92 | 94 | 95 |
% Growth | 26% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% |