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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 8.6x - 9.5x | 9.0x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 8.6x - 9.5x | 9.1x |
Fair Value | ₹268.53 - ₹296.80 | ₹282.66 |
Upside | -12.5% - -3.3% | -7.9% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited | - | NSEI:ONGC |
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited | - | NSEI:HINDPETRO |
Indian Oil Corporation Limited | - | NSEI:IOC |
Reliance Industries Limited | - | NSEI:RELIANCE |
Chevron Corporation | - | NYSE:CVX |
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited | - | NSEI:BPCL |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
ONGC | HINDPETRO | IOC | RELIANCE | CVX | BPCL | |||
NSEI:ONGC | NSEI:HINDPETRO | NSEI:IOC | NSEI:RELIANCE | NYSE:CVX | NSEI:BPCL | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 10.0% | 20.6% | NM- | 9.7% | 43.3% | 34.3% | ||
3Y CAGR | 44.5% | -2.6% | -18.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -7.0% | -57.9% | -67.4% | 0.0% | -22.8% | -50.3% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 6.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 6.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 8.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 3.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 6.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.6x | 9.1x | 7.7x | 11.9x | 5.6x | 6.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.5x | 0.2x | 0.3x | 1.9x | 1.2x | 0.3x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 7.5x | 13.7x | 14.1x | 25.7x | 15.4x | 9.9x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 7.5x | 14.1x | 25.7x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -34.3x | 4.5x | 23.1x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 8.6x | 9.0x | 9.5x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 133,366 | 133,366 | 133,366 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,141,129 | 1,201,188 | 1,261,247 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 4,338.5 | 4,338.5 | 4,338.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 263.02 | 276.87 | 290.71 | |||||
FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 263.02 | 276.87 | 290.71 | 306.85 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -14.3% | -9.8% | -5.3% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ONGC | HINDPETRO | IOC | RELIANCE | CVX | BPCL | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,955,862 | 821,871 | 1,927,881 | 17,499,837 | 239,326 | 1,331,270 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 12,580.3 | 2,127.8 | 13,771.6 | 12,706.8 | 1,746.4 | 4,338.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 234.96 | 386.25 | 139.99 | 1,377.20 | 137.04 | 306.85 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 234.96 | 386.25 | 139.99 | 1,377.20 | 137.04 | 306.85 | |
Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | USD | INR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |