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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 10.8% - 9.8% | 10.3% |
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 4.8% - 5.8% | 5.3% |
Fair Value | kr24.21 - kr32.96 | kr27.72 |
Upside | -28.8% - -3.0% | -18.5% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
(SEK in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
Revenue | 62 | 70 | 75 | 78 | 80 | 81 | |
% Growth | 22.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | |
EBITDA | 14 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | |
% of Revenue | 23.1% | 25.3% | 26.3% | 26.3% | 26.3% | 26.3% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
(SEK in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Terminal | |
EBITDA | 18 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | |
EBIT | 17 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (3) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | |
NOPAT | 11 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
Capital Expenditures | (0) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) |
NWC Investment | (4) | (3) | (2) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (2) |
(+) D&A | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Free Cash Flow | 8 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
% Growth | 47% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | -7% |