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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -3.8x - -4.2x | -4.0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -9.4x - -10.4x | -9.9x |
Fair Value | $9.82 - $10.56 | $10.19 |
Upside | 10.1% - 18.4% | 14.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
AEye, Inc. | LIDR | NasdaqCM:LIDR |
Aeva Technologies, Inc. | AEVA | NasdaqGS:AEVA |
Keysight Technologies, Inc. | KEYS | NYSE:KEYS |
Airgain, Inc. | AIRG | NasdaqCM:AIRG |
SmartRent, Inc. | SMRT | NYSE:SMRT |
Ouster, Inc. | OUST | NasdaqGS:OUST |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
LIDR | AEVA | KEYS | AIRG | SMRT | OUST | ||
NasdaqCM:LIDR | NasdaqGS:AEVA | NYSE:KEYS | NasdaqCM:AIRG | NYSE:SMRT | NasdaqGS:OUST | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 2.3% | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -8.1% | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 47.2% | 0.6% | -33.5% | 28.0% | -9.7% | 41.8% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -5295.0% | -2167.2% | 21.7% | -13.1% | -42.6% | -260.1% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -4684.1% | -3427.4% | 25.2% | -22.1% | -16.4% | -215.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -17918.8% | -1620.2% | 17.0% | -14.7% | -24.4% | -93.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -17918.8% | -1620.2% | 16.9% | -14.7% | -24.4% | -93.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | -55.45x | 30.78x | 5.22x | 0.57x | 0.41x | 2.61x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.3x | -2.0x | 23.5x | -6.5x | -1.9x | -3.1x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 0.3x | -1.9x | 30.9x | -3.9x | -1.7x | -2.8x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -3.9x | -1.7x | 30.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -8.6x | -1.8x | -0.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -3.8x | -4.0x | -4.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | (104) | (104) | (104) | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 398 | 418 | 439 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 152 | 152 | 152 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 549 | 570 | 591 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.8 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 10.22 | 10.61 | 10.99 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 10.22 | 10.61 | 10.99 | 8.92 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 23.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | LIDR | AEVA | KEYS | AIRG | SMRT | OUST | |
Enterprise Value | (10) | 279 | 26,030 | 38 | 87 | 328 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 22 | 112 | 2,060 | 9 | 142 | 172 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 5 | 147 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (1) | (4) | (2,020) | (4) | (8) | (20) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 11 | 392 | 26,217 | 42 | 222 | 480 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 18.7 | 54.7 | 172.8 | 11.6 | 192.7 | 53.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.59 | 7.17 | 151.71 | 3.65 | 1.15 | 8.92 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.59 | 7.17 | 151.71 | 3.65 | 1.15 | 8.92 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |