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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.1x - 1.3x | 1.2x |
| Historical Pb Multiple | 0.7x - 3.1x | 1.3x |
| Fair Value | $7.71 - $8.52 | $8.11 |
| Upside | -7.8% - 1.9% | -2.9% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | - | NYSE:AMR |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc. | - | NYSE:HCC |
| Coronado Global Resources Inc. | - | OTCPK:CODQ.L |
| Worthington Steel, Inc. | - | NYSE:WS |
| Steel Dynamics, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:STLD |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:METC |
| Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| AMR | HCC | CODQ.L | WS | STLD | METC | |||
| NYSE:AMR | NYSE:HCC | OTCPK:CODQ.L | NYSE:WS | NasdaqGS:STLD | NasdaqGS:METC | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | -3.6% | NM- | NM- | 18.0% | -14.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -13.4% | 18.4% | NM- | -3.3% | -21.8% | -34.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -74.0% | -47.6% | -169.8% | -35.9% | -37.3% | -85.9% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.1% | 18.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 12.5% | 9.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 20.8% | 28.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.3% | 16.4% | -4.4% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 1.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.3% | 16.4% | -4.4% | 3.4% | 8.8% | 1.7% | ||
| Return on Equity | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 37.8% | 23.5% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 34.6% | 18.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 48.1% | 28.8% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 28.8% | 23.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.6% | 12.6% | -9.4% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 3.1% | ||
| Next Fiscal Year | 13.7% | 10.1% | -11.1% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 10.1% | ||
| Two Fiscal Years Forward | 21.8% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 20.9% | 21.9% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.6x | 1.7x | 0.1x | 0.4x | 1.1x | 0.7x | ||
| Price / LTM EPS | 9.1x | 10.3x | -3.3x | 12.0x | 12.5x | 39.5x | ||
| Price / Book | 1.0x | 1.2x | 0.3x | 1.3x | 2.2x | 1.2x | ||
| Price / Fwd Book | 1.0x | 1.1x | 0.7x | 1.2x | 2.2x | 1.2x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.3x | 1.2x | 2.2x | |||||
| Historical P/B Ratio | 0.7x | 1.3x | 3.1x | |||||
| Selected P/B Multiple | 1.1x | 1.2x | 1.3x | |||||
| (x) Book Value | 363 | 363 | 363 | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AMR | HCC | CODQ.L | WS | STLD | METC | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,698 | 2,570 | 621 | 1,295 | 19,238 | 451 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 13.1 | 52.6 | 2,327.9 | 49.5 | 149.9 | 54.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 130.08 | 48.89 | 0.27 | 26.15 | 128.34 | 8.36 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 130.08 | 48.89 | 0.27 | 26.15 | 128.34 | 8.36 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |