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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 271.7x - 300.2x | 285.9x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 35.0x - 38.7x | 36.9x |
| Fair Value | $26.34 - $29.11 | $27.72 |
| Upside | -15.5% - -6.6% | -11.0% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Mercury Systems, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:MRCY |
| AeroVironment, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:AVAV |
| Triumph Group, Inc. | - | NYSE:TGI |
| VirTra, Inc. | - | NasdaqCM:VTSI |
| Ducommun Incorporated | - | NYSE:DCO |
| Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:KTOS |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| MRCY | AVAV | TGI | VTSI | DCO | KTOS | |||
| NasdaqGS:MRCY | NasdaqGS:AVAV | NYSE:TGI | NasdaqCM:VTSI | NYSE:DCO | NasdaqGS:KTOS | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 7.3% | NM- | NM- | -0.6% | 8.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 36.8% | NM- | -18.7% | -38.5% | 446.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.0% | 130.9% | 120.5% | -85.1% | 97.7% | 283.1% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -0.6% | -1.4% | 4.4% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 1.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -2.9% | -32.6% | 6.4% | 23.6% | 2.1% | -0.9% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -16.5% | 8.3% | -2.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -10.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 119.0x | 45.9x | 15.5x | 12.1x | 11.1x | 61.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 3.0x | 4.5x | 1.6x | 1.8x | 1.1x | 4.0x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -29.2x | 100.7x | 149.2x | 35.1x | 26.3x | 278.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -29.2x | 35.1x | 149.2x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -132.1x | 30.1x | 561.2x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 271.7x | 285.9x | 300.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,428 | 4,661 | 4,894 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 152.8 | 152.8 | 152.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 28.97 | 30.50 | 32.02 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 28.97 | 30.50 | 32.02 | 31.16 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -7.0% | -2.1% | 2.8% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MRCY | AVAV | TGI | VTSI | DCO | KTOS | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,693 | 3,554 | 1,976 | 49 | 870 | 4,763 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 59.7 | 28.0 | 77.4 | 11.3 | 14.8 | 152.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 45.12 | 126.84 | 25.53 | 4.37 | 58.70 | 31.16 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 45.12 | 126.84 | 25.53 | 4.37 | 58.70 | 31.16 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |