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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 16.8x - 18.6x | 17.7x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 14.9x - 16.5x | 15.7x |
Fair Value | $84.50 - $93.40 | $88.95 |
Upside | 25.1% - 38.3% | 31.7% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:BJ |
Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:WBA |
Dollar General Corporation | - | NYSE:DG |
Target Corporation | - | NYSE:TGT |
The Kroger Co. | - | NYSE:KR |
Dollar Tree, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:DLTR |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
BJ | WBA | DG | TGT | KR | DLTR | |||
NYSE:BJ | NasdaqGS:WBA | NYSE:DG | NYSE:TGT | NYSE:KR | NasdaqGS:DLTR | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 23.3% | NM- | -8.1% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 4.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | 7.8% | NM- | -22.3% | -16.2% | 17.3% | -7.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 2.1% | -1639.0% | -32.3% | -1.1% | 23.3% | -17.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.5% | -1.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 2.6% | -2.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 7.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 2.6% | -5.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 5.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 2.6% | -5.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 5.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.3x | 13.8x | 12.7x | 6.7x | 8.3x | 10.3x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.7x | 0.1x | 0.5x | 0.4x | 0.3x | 0.8x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 28.4x | -1.0x | 18.1x | 10.7x | 16.8x | 13.9x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -1.0x | 16.8x | 28.4x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 13.9x | 21.4x | 24.9x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 16.8x | 17.7x | 18.6x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 1,043 | 1,043 | 1,043 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 17,548 | 18,472 | 19,395 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 215.1 | 215.1 | 215.1 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 81.59 | 85.88 | 90.18 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 81.59 | 85.88 | 90.18 | 67.55 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 20.8% | 27.1% | 33.5% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | BJ | WBA | DG | TGT | KR | DLTR | |
Value of Common Equity | 15,197 | 9,235 | 20,371 | 43,608 | 44,399 | 14,529 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 131.7 | 864.7 | 219.9 | 455.6 | 660.9 | 215.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 115.41 | 10.68 | 92.62 | 95.72 | 67.18 | 67.55 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 115.41 | 10.68 | 92.62 | 95.72 | 67.18 | 67.55 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |