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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 8.5x - 9.4x | 9.0x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 6.3x - 6.9x | 6.6x |
| Fair Value | $25.29 - $27.95 | $26.62 |
| Upside | 11.1% - 22.8% | 17.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Elastic N.V. | - | NYSE:ESTC |
| Oracle Corporation | - | NYSE:ORCL |
| Microsoft Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:MSFT |
| Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. | - | NasdaqCM:SNCR |
| Semrush Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:SEMR |
| Confluent, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:CFLT |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ESTC | ORCL | MSFT | SNCR | SEMR | CFLT | |||
| NYSE:ESTC | NYSE:ORCL | NasdaqGS:MSFT | NasdaqCM:SNCR | NYSE:SEMR | NasdaqGS:CFLT | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 36.1% | 6.0% | 14.3% | -10.9% | 32.5% | 45.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 27.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | -2.9% | 26.1% | 35.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.9% | 6.2% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 22.8% | 24.1% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -17.5% | 22.3% | 35.3% | -12.0% | -3.6% | -70.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -22.1% | 17.0% | 34.1% | -26.8% | 0.3% | -57.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.9% | 19.8% | 36.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | -35.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -9.3% | 21.8% | 35.8% | -0.9% | 1.8% | -31.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -128.9x | 23.8x | 23.0x | 9.0x | 80.2x | -17.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 6.8x | 8.1x | 12.6x | 0.4x | 3.8x | 7.6x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -72.8x | 37.3x | 35.3x | -43.6x | 214.8x | -24.2x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 6.8x | 12.6x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 9.8x | 10.9x | 59.6x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 8.5x | 9.0x | 9.4x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 1,018 | 1,018 | 1,018 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,662 | 9,118 | 9,574 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 340.4 | 340.4 | 340.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 25.45 | 26.79 | 28.13 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 25.45 | 26.79 | 28.13 | 22.75 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 11.9% | 17.7% | 23.6% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ESTC | ORCL | MSFT | SNCR | SEMR | CFLT | |
| Value of Common Equity | 9,695 | 454,034 | 3,424,099 | 70 | 1,491 | 7,744 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 104.4 | 2,804.2 | 7,432.5 | 10.8 | 148.2 | 340.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 92.85 | 161.91 | 460.69 | 6.50 | 10.06 | 22.75 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 92.85 | 161.91 | 460.69 | 6.50 | 10.06 | 22.75 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |