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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.4x - 2.7x | 2.6x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.9x - 2.1x | 2.0x |
Fair Value | $9.45 - $10.44 | $9.94 |
Upside | -27.3% - -19.6% | -23.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Security Federal Corporation | - | OTCPK:SFDL |
Orrstown Financial Services, Inc. | - | NasdaqCM:ORRF |
ESSA Bancorp, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:ESSA |
First Financial Northwest, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:FFNW |
Chemung Financial Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:CHMG |
BankFinancial Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:BFIN |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
SFDL | ORRF | ESSA | FFNW | CHMG | BFIN | |||
OTCPK:SFDL | NasdaqCM:ORRF | NasdaqGS:ESSA | NasdaqGS:FFNW | NasdaqGS:CHMG | NasdaqGS:BFIN | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 6.4% | 12.7% | 5.0% | -2.8% | 5.4% | -2.0% | ||
3Y CAGR | 1.6% | 15.3% | 3.2% | -8.1% | 2.9% | -1.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 4.8% | 36.7% | -1.6% | -13.6% | 1.7% | -12.0% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 21.3% | 23.0% | 26.6% | 19.0% | 26.6% | 16.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 21.1% | 27.7% | 27.0% | 14.4% | 26.1% | 16.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 17.5% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 2.9% | 24.3% | 8.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 17.5% | 12.5% | 24.6% | 2.9% | 24.3% | 8.3% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.9x | 3.4x | 2.8x | 5.6x | 2.3x | 3.3x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 10.7x | 26.8x | 11.5x | 194.9x | 9.5x | 39.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.9x | 2.8x | 5.6x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 2.3x | 2.6x | 3.3x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.4x | 2.6x | 2.7x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 49 | 49 | 49 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 120 | 126 | 133 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 9.63 | 10.13 | 10.64 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.63 | 10.13 | 10.64 | 12.99 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -25.9% | -22.0% | -18.1% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | SFDL | ORRF | ESSA | FFNW | CHMG | BFIN | |
Value of Common Equity | 95 | 591 | 191 | 209 | 225 | 162 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 3.2 | 19.4 | 10.1 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 12.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 29.75 | 30.50 | 18.88 | 22.64 | 46.91 | 12.99 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 29.75 | 30.50 | 18.88 | 22.64 | 46.91 | 12.99 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |