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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 10.3% - 9.3% | 9.8% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 2.6x - 4.6x | 3.6x |
Fair Value | $20.67 - $31.03 | $25.76 |
Upside | -5.2% - 42.3% | 18.1% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 |
Revenue | 408 | 435 | 457 | 487 | 512 | 548 |
% Growth | 18.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% |
EBITDA | 36 | 33 | 52 | 70 | 80 | 87 |
% of Revenue | 8.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 15.9% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 | |
EBITDA | 33 | 52 | 70 | 80 | 87 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (8) | (8) | (14) | (15) | (16) | |
EBIT | 25 | 44 | 56 | 65 | 71 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (8) | (15) | (19) | (22) | (24) | |
NOPAT | 21 | 16 | 29 | 38 | 44 | 48 |
Capital Expenditures | (3) | (13) | (8) | (9) | (5) | (6) |
NWC Investment | (19) | (8) | (7) | (9) | (8) | (11) |
(+) D&A | 5 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
Free Cash Flow | 4 | 4 | 23 | 34 | 46 | 47 |
% Growth | -4% | 493% | 49% | 34% | 4% |