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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 11.5% - 10.5% | 11.0% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 0.4x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
Fair Value | $1.63 - $1.72 | $1.67 |
Upside | 65.1% - 74.8% | 69.8% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 92 | 95 | 97 | 99 | 101 | 103 |
% Growth | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
% of Revenue | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (8) | |
EBIT | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | |
Pro forma Taxes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
NOPAT | 3 | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) |
Capital Expenditures | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) |
NWC Investment | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Free Cash Flow | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
% Growth | -37% | -17% | 2% | 2% | 2% |