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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 9.8% - 8.8% | 9.3% |
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 4.8% - 5.8% | 5.3% |
Fair Value | $8.53 - $14.06 | $10.61 |
Upside | -50.5% - -18.4% | -38.5% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Apr-24 | Apr-25 | Apr-26 | Apr-27 | Apr-28 | Apr-29 | |
Revenue | 55 | 66 | 75 | 80 | 83 | 85 | |
% Growth | 35.6% | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | |
EBITDA | 7 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | |
% of Revenue | 12.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
(USD in millions) | Apr-25 | Apr-26 | Apr-27 | Apr-28 | Apr-29 | Terminal | |
EBITDA | 5 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (3) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (2) | |
EBIT | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (0) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | |
NOPAT | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Capital Expenditures | (1) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) |
NWC Investment | (3) | (2) | (2) | (1) | (1) | (0) | (1) |
(+) D&A | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Free Cash Flow | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
% Growth | -72% | 559% | 54% | 18% | 7% | -16% |