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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -4.7x - -5.2x | -5.0x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | -3.9x - -4.3x | -4.1x |
Fair Value | $3.60 - $3.98 | $3.79 |
Upside | 17.7% - 30.1% | 23.9% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Veracyte, Inc. | - | NasdaqGM:VCYT |
Exact Sciences Corporation | - | NasdaqCM:EXAS |
Personalis, Inc. | - | NasdaqGM:PSNL |
Trevena, Inc. | - | OTCPK:TRVN |
Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. | - | NasdaqCM:CLDX |
Cardiff Oncology, Inc. | - | NasdaqCM:CRDF |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
VCYT | EXAS | PSNL | TRVN | CLDX | CRDF | |||
NasdaqGM:VCYT | NasdaqCM:EXAS | NasdaqGM:PSNL | OTCPK:TRVN | NasdaqCM:CLDX | NasdaqCM:CRDF | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 132.4% | -404.0% | 24.9% | -10.6% | -11.6% | -9.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -21.0% | -27.4% | -102.7% | -19680.3% | -2846.3% | -7594.3% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -20.6% | -8.2% | -147.4% | 12839.7% | -2054.8% | -8496.9% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.4% | -37.3% | -96.1% | -1289.2% | -2248.8% | -6655.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.4% | -37.3% | -96.1% | -6233.7% | -2248.8% | -6655.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 41.1x | 329.6x | -2.9x | -0.8x | -2.1x | -2.3x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 5.2x | 2.9x | 3.6x | 2.0x | 159.3x | 298.0x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 95.5x | -7.8x | -3.7x | 0.0x | -7.1x | -4.5x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -7.8x | -3.7x | 95.5x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -31.4x | -4.5x | -1.6x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | -4.7x | -5.0x | -5.2x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | (45) | (45) | (45) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 214 | 225 | 237 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 66.5 | 66.5 | 66.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 3.22 | 3.39 | 3.56 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.22 | 3.39 | 3.56 | 3.06 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 5.2% | 10.7% | 16.3% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | VCYT | EXAS | PSNL | TRVN | CLDX | CRDF | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,304 | 8,071 | 305 | 1 | 1,119 | 204 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 77.9 | 185.8 | 88.3 | 0.9 | 66.4 | 66.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 29.56 | 43.45 | 3.45 | 1.29 | 16.85 | 3.06 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 29.56 | 43.45 | 3.45 | 1.29 | 16.85 | 3.06 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |