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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 9.3% - 8.3% | 8.8% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 4.3x - 6.3x | 5.3x |
Fair Value | £0.84 - £1.15 | £0.99 |
Upside | 7.2% - 46.9% | 26.7% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(GBP in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | May-24 | May-25 | May-26 | May-27 | May-28 | May-29 |
Revenue | 528 | 494 | 513 | 533 | 543 | 554 |
% Growth | -19.6% | -6.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | -48 | 74 | 75 | 79 | 80 | 82 |
% of Revenue | -9.1% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(GBP in millions) | May-25 | May-26 | May-27 | May-28 | May-29 | |
EBITDA | 74 | 75 | 79 | 80 | 82 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (18) | (16) | (16) | (16) | (17) | |
EBIT | 56 | 59 | 63 | 64 | 65 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (16) | (17) | (18) | (18) | (18) | |
NOPAT | (40) | 40 | 42 | 45 | 46 | 47 |
Capital Expenditures | (6) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) |
NWC Investment | (2) | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 7 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
Free Cash Flow | (40) | 51 | 52 | 54 | 55 | 56 |
% Growth | NM | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% |