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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 13.9x - 15.3x | 14.6x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12.9x - 14.2x | 13.5x |
Fair Value | £47.50 - £52.71 | £50.11 |
Upside | -7.4% - 2.8% | -2.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Premier Foods plc | PFD | LSE:PFD |
Tate & Lyle plc | TATE | LSE:TATE |
Bakkavor Group plc | BAKK | LSE:BAKK |
Hilton Food Group plc | HFG | LSE:HFG |
Associated British Foods plc | ABF | LSE:ABF |
Cranswick plc | CWK | LSE:CWK |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
PFD | TATE | BAKK | HFG | ABF | CWK | ||
LSE:PFD | LSE:TATE | LSE:BAKK | LSE:HFG | LSE:ABF | LSE:CWK | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 109.4% | -4.8% | 5.0% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 14.4% | |
3Y CAGR | 14.7% | 15.0% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 29.7% | 10.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 18.1% | 3.4% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 36.1% | 23.5% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 13.3% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 13.1% | 12.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 15.9% | 14.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 15.5% | 15.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.66x | 1.49x | 0.55x | 0.28x | 0.87x | 1.07x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.8x | 7.5x | 7.5x | 7.4x | 6.8x | 10.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 10.7x | 9.7x | 11.1x | 11.5x | 9.2x | 15.1x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 9.2x | 10.7x | 11.5x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 13.4x | 14.3x | 21.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 13.9x | 14.6x | 15.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 189 | 189 | 189 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,622 | 2,761 | 2,899 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (107) | (107) | (107) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 2,516 | 2,654 | 2,792 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.8 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 46.77 | 49.33 | 51.90 | ||||
FX Rate: GBP/GBP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 46.77 | 49.33 | 51.90 | 51.30 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -8.8% | -3.8% | 1.2% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | PFD | TATE | BAKK | HFG | ABF | CWK | |
Enterprise Value | 1,931 | 2,361 | 1,271 | 1,135 | 17,570 | 2,866 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 114 | 594 | 31 | 112 | 1,658 | 8 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 27 | 0 | 12 | 411 | 1 | |
(-) Debt | (335) | (555) | (307) | (449) | (3,678) | (116) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1) | 0 | (10) | (92) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,710 | 2,426 | 995 | 799 | 15,869 | 2,760 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 864.3 | 439.9 | 575.2 | 89.8 | 719.7 | 53.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.98 | 5.52 | 1.73 | 8.90 | 22.05 | 51.30 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.98 | 5.52 | 1.73 | 8.90 | 22.05 | 51.30 | |
Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |