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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 11.0% - 10.0% | 10.5% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 16.4x - 18.4x | 17.4x |
Fair Value | ₩6,752 - ₩9,303 | ₩8,005 |
Upside | -60.8% - -46.0% | -53.5% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(KRW in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 257,057 | 257,057 | 257,057 | 257,057 | 257,057 | 257,057 |
% Growth | -8.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
EBITDA | 11,877 | 13,130 | 13,130 | 13,130 | 13,130 | 13,130 |
% of Revenue | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(KRW in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 13,130 | 13,130 | 13,130 | 13,130 | 13,130 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (7,035) | (7,035) | (7,035) | (7,035) | (7,035) | |
EBIT | 6,095 | 6,095 | 6,095 | 6,095 | 6,095 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (670) | (670) | (670) | (670) | (670) | |
NOPAT | 3,973 | 5,425 | 5,425 | 5,425 | 5,425 | 5,425 |
Capital Expenditures | (11,116) | (8,936) | (9,087) | (9,713) | (9,713) | (9,713) |
NWC Investment | 4,323 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 7,412 | 7,035 | 7,035 | 7,035 | 7,035 | 7,035 |
Free Cash Flow | 4,592 | 3,523 | 3,373 | 2,746 | 2,746 | 2,746 |
% Growth | -23% | -4% | -19% | 0% | 0% |