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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 9.4x - 10.4x | 9.9x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 4.3x - 4.7x | 4.5x |
Fair Value | ₨62.12 - ₨68.65 | ₨65.39 |
Upside | -17.4% - -8.7% | -13.0% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Engro Fertilizers Limited | - | KASE:EFERT |
Sitara Chemical Industries Limited | - | KASE:SITC |
Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited | - | KASE:FFC |
Descon Oxychem Limited | - | KASE:DOL |
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited | - | KASE:LOTCHEM |
Sardar Chemical Industries Limited | - | KASE:SARC |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
EFERT | SITC | FFC | DOL | LOTCHEM | SARC | |||
KASE:EFERT | KASE:SITC | KASE:FFC | KASE:DOL | KASE:LOTCHEM | KASE:SARC | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 10.9% | -7.9% | 37.2% | 5.2% | -13.2% | 22.9% | ||
3Y CAGR | 10.2% | -24.3% | 28.4% | 22.1% | -17.1% | 10.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -20.8% | -35.9% | 75.6% | 64.6% | -29.9% | -21.9% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 13.1% | 4.0% | 27.9% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 11.7% | 3.6% | 25.6% | 20.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 11.0% | 1.9% | 20.5% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 10.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 11.0% | 2.0% | 21.0% | 13.9% | 2.4% | 7.3% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.7x | 5.8x | 3.2x | 3.0x | 5.7x | 6.5x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.2x | 0.3x | 1.4x | 0.9x | 0.3x | 0.8x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 11.0x | 16.0x | 6.6x | 6.7x | 13.0x | 10.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 6.6x | 11.0x | 16.0x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 3.9x | 4.6x | 7.7x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 9.4x | 9.9x | 10.4x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 38 | 38 | 38 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 360 | 379 | 398 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 60.04 | 63.20 | 66.36 | |||||
FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 60.04 | 63.20 | 66.36 | 75.19 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -20.1% | -15.9% | -11.7% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | EFERT | SITC | FFC | DOL | LOTCHEM | SARC | |
Value of Common Equity | 259,782 | 10,252 | 588,797 | 5,844 | 30,360 | 451 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,335.3 | 21.4 | 1,423.1 | 175.0 | 1,514.2 | 6.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 194.55 | 478.39 | 413.74 | 33.39 | 20.05 | 75.19 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 194.55 | 478.39 | 413.74 | 33.39 | 20.05 | 75.19 | |
Trading Currency | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |