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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted Earnings | 296.9 M - 516.2 M | 370.7 M |
| Discount Rate | 10.0% - 8.0% | 9.0% |
| Fair Value | ₨15.09 - ₨39.64 | ₨23.19 |
| Upside | 2.7% - 169.6% | 57.8% |
| Estimate Adjusted EBIT Margin | |||||||
| Fiscal Year Ending | LTM | ||||||
| Jun-20 | Jun-21 | Jun-22 | Jun-23 | Jun-24 | Dec-24 | ||
| (PKR in millions) | FY-4 | FY-3 | FY-2 | FY-1 | FY | LTM | |
| Revenue | 5,233 | 6,996 | 8,866 | 10,247 | 10,334 | 9,486 | |
| Adjusted EBITDA Build-up | |||||||
| EBT, Incl. Unusual Items | 128 | 411 | 187 | 217 | 233 | 241 | |
| (+) Net Interest Expense | 102 | 38 | 108 | 256 | 209 | 131 | |
| (+) Other Non Operating Exp. | 10 | (3) | 98 | 57 | (5) | 7 | |
| (+) D&A | 141 | 147 | 164 | 176 | 198 | 229 | |
| (+) Non-recurring Items | (3) | 0 | (1) | (3) | (24) | (24) | |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 378 | 593 | 556 | 703 | 611 | 584 | |
| (-) D&A | (141) | (147) | (164) | (176) | (198) | (229) | |
| Adjusted EBIT | 237 | 446 | 392 | 527 | 413 | 355 | |
| % of Revenue | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | |
| Low | Median | High | |||||
| Adjusted EBIT Margin | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Model | |||||||
| (PKR in millions) | Low | Mid | High | Market | |||
| Enterprise Value | 2,969 | 4,119 | 6,452 | 2,914 | |||
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 467 | 467 | 467 | 467 | |||
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| (-) Debt | (1,295) | (1,295) | (1,295) | (1,295) | |||
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Value of Common Equity | 2,141 | 3,291 | 5,624 | 2,086 | |||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 141.9 | 141.9 | 141.9 | 141.9 | |||
| Implied Stock Price (PKR) | 15.09 | 23.19 | 39.64 | 14.70 | |||
| FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
| Implied Stock Price (PKR) | 15.09 | 23.19 | 39.64 | 14.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 2.66% | 57.77% | 169.63% | ||||
| Stock Price | 14.70 | ||||||
| Stock Price Close | 14.70 | ||||||
| Restatment Type | Original | ||||||
| Reporting Currency | PKR | ||||||
| Trading Currency | PKR | ||||||
| FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.00 | ||||||
| Market Cap | 1,986.6 | ||||||
| Shares Outstanding | 141.9 | ||||||
| Share Exchange Ratio | 1.0 | ||||||
| Liquid Long-term Investments | 0 | ||||||