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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 7.7x - 8.6x | 8.2x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 7.6x - 8.4x | 8.0x |
Fair Value | ₨17.65 - ₨19.51 | ₨18.58 |
Upside | -43.1% - -37.1% | -40.1% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
First Fidelity Leasing Modaraba | - | KASE:FFLM |
Saudi Pak Consultancy Company Limited | - | KASE:SPCL |
First Capital Securities Corporation Limited | - | KASE:FCSC |
First IBL Modaraba | - | KASE:FIBLM |
First Prudential Modaraba | - | KASE:WASL |
First Elite Capital Modaraba | - | KASE:FECM |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
FFLM | SPCL | FCSC | FIBLM | WASL | FECM | |||
KASE:FFLM | KASE:SPCL | KASE:FCSC | KASE:FIBLM | KASE:WASL | KASE:FECM | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 73.8% | NM- | 19.5% | 92.7% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | 330.1% | NM- | 57.8% | 87.4% | 77.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -200.6% | -79.0% | 172.2% | -0.7% | -82.9% | 547.9% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -55.8% | -911.7% | -11.6% | 15.8% | 29.1% | 3.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -14.0% | 55.1% | -19.2% | 28.0% | 61.8% | -20.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -260.0% | 95.0% | -8.3% | 22.0% | 29.5% | 61.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -127.9% | 18.3% | 41.2% | 32.9% | 11.1% | 60.0% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -13.6x | 5.8x | 29.1x | -0.7x | 3.6x | -87.5x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 20.2x | 0.3x | 1.6x | 2.9x | 3.2x | 8.2x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -15.8x | 1.5x | 4.0x | 8.8x | 28.9x | 13.6x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -15.8x | 4.0x | 28.9x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -26.9x | -12.7x | -4.7x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 7.7x | 8.2x | 8.6x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 26 | 26 | 26 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 200 | 210 | 221 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 11.3 | 11.3 | 11.3 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 17.63 | 18.56 | 19.49 | |||||
FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 17.63 | 18.56 | 19.49 | 31.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -43.1% | -40.1% | -37.1% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | FFLM | SPCL | FCSC | FIBLM | WASL | FECM | |
Value of Common Equity | 211 | 41 | 855 | 149 | 533 | 352 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 26.4 | 45.2 | 316.6 | 21.7 | 129.4 | 11.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 8.00 | 0.90 | 2.70 | 6.89 | 4.12 | 31.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.00 | 0.90 | 2.70 | 6.89 | 4.12 | 31.00 | |
Trading Currency | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |