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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.9x - 3.2x | 3.1x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 3.0x - 3.3x | 3.2x |
| Fair Value | $48.82 - $53.95 | $51.38 |
| Upside | 0.4% - 11.0% | 5.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | - | NYSE:FCX |
| Southern Copper Corporation | - | NYSE:SCCO |
| Hecla Mining Company | - | NYSE:HL |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc | - | NYSE:AU |
| Alcoa Corporation | - | NYSE:AA |
| Newmont Corporation | - | KAS:NEM_KZ |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| FCX | SCCO | HL | AU | AA | NEM_KZ | |||
| NYSE:FCX | NYSE:SCCO | NYSE:HL | NYSE:AU | NYSE:AA | KAS:NEM_KZ | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 13.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 3.7% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 12.9% | -0.7% | 15.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.4% | 15.5% | 29.1% | 26.4% | 12.7% | 58.2% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.1% | 25.5% | -3.1% | 9.5% | -1.7% | 5.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.1% | 24.5% | -11.8% | -5.1% | -6.2% | -21.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.4% | 29.5% | 3.8% | 17.3% | 0.5% | 17.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.4% | 29.5% | 3.8% | 17.3% | 0.5% | 17.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.5x | 12.1x | 12.6x | 9.2x | 5.5x | 6.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.1x | 6.5x | 3.7x | 3.2x | 0.7x | 2.9x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 28.9x | 22.0x | 98.3x | 18.6x | 141.0x | 16.6x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.7x | 3.2x | 6.5x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 2.9x | 4.1x | 4.3x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.9x | 3.1x | 3.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 18,682 | 18,682 | 18,682 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 54,209 | 57,062 | 59,915 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,127.3 | 1,127.3 | 1,127.3 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 48.09 | 50.62 | 53.15 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 48.09 | 50.62 | 53.15 | 48.62 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -1.1% | 4.1% | 9.3% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FCX | SCCO | HL | AU | AA | NEM_KZ | |
| Value of Common Equity | 54,408 | 74,411 | 3,464 | 18,691 | 7,896 | 54,807 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,437.1 | 796.2 | 623.0 | 503.5 | 258.9 | 1,127.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 37.86 | 93.46 | 5.56 | 37.12 | 30.50 | 48.62 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 37.86 | 93.46 | 5.56 | 37.12 | 30.50 | 48.62 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |