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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 2.6x - 2.9x | 2.7x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 2.4x - 3.8x | 3.1x |
Fair Value | R74.54 - R82.39 | R78.47 |
Upside | 1.5% - 12.2% | 6.9% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Pepkor Holdings Limited | - | JSE:PPH |
The Foschini Group Limited | - | JSE:TFG |
Mr Price Group Limited | - | JSE:MRP |
Woolworths Holdings Limited | - | JSE:WHL |
Motus Holdings Limited | - | JSE:MTH |
Truworths International Limited | - | JSE:TRU |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
PPH | TFG | MRP | WHL | MTH | TRU | |||
JSE:PPH | JSE:TFG | JSE:MRP | JSE:WHL | JSE:MTH | JSE:TRU | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -6.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | NM- | 5.5% | 44.4% | ||
3Y CAGR | -21.8% | NM- | 7.3% | -14.6% | 5.1% | 25.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 255.7% | 6.7% | 12.8% | -18.8% | -16.8% | 11.2% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.3% | 3.9% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 11.6% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -2.0% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 16.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 18.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | NA | 5.3% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 17.9% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.1% | 9.6% | 26.7% | 24.8% | 15.6% | 30.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -2.6% | 14.8% | 24.9% | 32.6% | 21.3% | 47.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 4.4% | 12.7% | 26.4% | 25.5% | 13.5% | 38.5% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 9.6% | 13.2% | 24.9% | 28.0% | 13.3% | 30.0% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 9.9% | 14.2% | 25.0% | 31.6% | 14.2% | 29.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.2x | 0.8x | 1.6x | 0.7x | 0.1x | 1.3x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 41.0x | 14.7x | 18.5x | 17.8x | 6.5x | 7.4x | ||
Price / Book | 1.8x | 1.8x | 5.0x | 4.5x | 0.8x | 2.6x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 1.7x | 1.7x | 3.9x | 4.7x | 0.8x | 2.6x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.8x | 1.8x | 5.0x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 2.4x | 3.1x | 3.8x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 2.6x | 2.7x | 2.9x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 10,727 | 10,727 | 10,727 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | PPH | TFG | MRP | WHL | MTH | TRU | |
Value of Common Equity | 107,406 | 43,744 | 62,259 | 53,000 | 15,859 | 27,529 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 3,679.5 | 325.5 | 258.0 | 904.4 | 177.0 | 374.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 29.19 | 134.39 | 241.31 | 58.60 | 89.60 | 73.42 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 29.19 | 134.39 | 241.31 | 58.60 | 89.60 | 73.42 | |
Trading Currency | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | ZAR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |