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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.8% - 7.8% | 8.3% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 3.4x - 5.4x | 4.4x |
Fair Value | Rp11,466 - Rp13,522 | Rp12,473 |
Upside | 20.1% - 41.6% | 30.6% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 345 | 345 | 345 | 345 | 345 | 345 |
% Growth | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
EBITDA | 26 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 |
% of Revenue | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | |
EBIT | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | |
NOPAT | 18 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
Capital Expenditures | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) |
NWC Investment | (2) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Free Cash Flow | 14 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
% Growth | 46% | -2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |