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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 13.6x - 15.0x | 14.3x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 13.8x - 15.3x | 14.6x |
| Fair Value | Rp5,270 - Rp5,825 | Rp5,548 |
| Upside | -11.4% - -2.1% | -6.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Viglacera Corporation | - | HOSE:VGC |
| Hai An Transport And Stevedoring Joint Stock Company | - | HOSE:HAH |
| Transimex Corporation | - | HOSE:TMS |
| Viettel Construction Joint Stock Corporation | - | HOSE:CTR |
| Becamex Infrastructure Development Joint Stock Company | - | HOSE:IJC |
| PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk | - | IDX:TCPI |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| VGC | HAH | TMS | CTR | IJC | TCPI | |||
| HOSE:VGC | HOSE:HAH | HOSE:TMS | HOSE:CTR | HOSE:IJC | IDX:TCPI | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.3% | 29.2% | 7.3% | NM- | -8.6% | -4.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 2.1% | 26.9% | -19.5% | NM- | -26.8% | 3.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.8% | 59.5% | 16.0% | NM | -16.3% | 10.8% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 10.1% | 21.6% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 27.0% | 6.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 24.6% | 6.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.3% | 15.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 31.7% | 9.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.8% | 21.5% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 46.8% | 5.9% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.1x | 5.6x | 13.5x | 9.6x | 12.8x | 55.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.3x | 2.2x | 2.1x | 0.8x | 6.6x | 15.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 19.7x | 10.3x | 22.8x | 19.0x | 14.1x | 257.8x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.8x | 2.2x | 6.6x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 13.4x | 21.0x | 32.3x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 13.6x | 14.3x | 15.0x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 1,949,345 | 1,949,345 | 1,949,345 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 26,423,983 | 27,814,719 | 29,205,455 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,000.0 | 5,000.0 | 5,000.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 5,284.80 | 5,562.94 | 5,841.09 | |||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5,284.80 | 5,562.94 | 5,841.09 | 5,950.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -11.2% | -6.5% | -1.8% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | VGC | HAH | TMS | CTR | IJC | TCPI | |
| Value of Common Equity | 28,694,400 | 10,604,580 | 7,112,126 | 10,695,080 | 5,458,464 | 29,750,000 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 448.4 | 168.9 | 169.3 | 114.4 | 377.7 | 5,000.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 64,000.00 | 62,800.00 | 42,000.00 | 93,500.00 | 14,450.00 | 5,950.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 64,000.00 | 62,800.00 | 42,000.00 | 93,500.00 | 14,450.00 | 5,950.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |