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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted Earnings | 4,299.2 B - 8,324.2 B | 6,598.3 B |
| Discount Rate | 8.8% - 6.8% | 7.8% |
| Fair Value | Rp1,244 - Rp3,031 | Rp2,111 |
| Upside | -39.3% - 47.8% | 3.0% |
| Estimate Adjusted EBIT Margin | |||||||
| Fiscal Year Ending | LTM | ||||||
| Dec-20 | Dec-21 | Dec-22 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-24 | ||
| (IDR in millions) | FY-4 | FY-3 | FY-2 | FY-1 | FY | LTM | |
| Revenue | 75,826,880 | 84,904,301 | 96,924,686 | 106,944,683 | 118,227,031 | 118,227,031 | |
| Adjusted EBITDA Build-up | |||||||
| EBT, Incl. Unusual Items | 1,388,967 | 2,441,523 | 3,617,223 | 4,332,521 | 4,066,063 | 4,066,063 | |
| (+) Net Interest Expense | 263,426 | 260,943 | 145,140 | 87,476 | 18,889 | 18,889 | |
| (+) Other Non Operating Exp. | 36,366 | 57,347 | 7,825 | 9,301 | (6,425) | (6,425) | |
| (+) D&A | 1,252,512 | 1,341,202 | 1,344,933 | 1,515,694 | 1,803,037 | 1,803,037 | |
| (+) Non-recurring Items | (130,221) | (21,968) | (57,137) | (41,209) | (43,588) | (43,588) | |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 2,811,050 | 4,079,047 | 5,057,984 | 5,903,783 | 5,837,976 | 5,837,976 | |
| (-) D&A | (1,252,512) | (1,341,202) | (1,344,933) | (1,515,694) | (1,803,037) | (1,803,037) | |
| Adjusted EBIT | 1,558,538 | 2,737,845 | 3,713,051 | 4,388,089 | 4,034,939 | 4,034,939 | |
| % of Revenue | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | |
| Low | Median | High | |||||
| Adjusted EBIT Margin | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Model | |||||||
| (IDR in millions) | Low | Mid | High | Market | |||
| Enterprise Value | 49,133,967 | 85,138,905 | 123,321,215 | 82,602,033 | |||
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,934,957 | 4,934,957 | 4,934,957 | 4,934,957 | |||
| (+) Investments & Other | 780,076 | 780,076 | 780,076 | 780,076 | |||
| (-) Debt | (1,873,569) | (1,873,569) | (1,873,569) | (1,873,569) | |||
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1,318,269) | (1,318,269) | (1,318,269) | (1,318,269) | |||
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Value of Common Equity | 51,657,162 | 87,662,100 | 125,844,410 | 85,125,228 | |||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 41,524.5 | 41,524.5 | 41,524.5 | 41,524.5 | |||
| Implied Stock Price (IDR) | 1,244.02 | 2,111.09 | 3,030.61 | 2,050.00 | |||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
| Implied Stock Price (IDR) | 1,244.02 | 2,111.09 | 3,030.61 | 2,050.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -39.32% | 2.98% | 47.83% | ||||
| Stock Price | 2,050.00 | ||||||
| Stock Price Close | 2,050.00 | ||||||
| Restatment Type | Original | ||||||
| Reporting Currency | IDR | ||||||
| Trading Currency | IDR | ||||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.00 | ||||||
| Market Cap | 85,125,228.5 | ||||||
| Shares Outstanding | 41,524.5 | ||||||
| Share Exchange Ratio | 1.0 | ||||||
| Liquid Long-term Investments | 0 | ||||||