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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.5% - 7.5% | 8.0% |
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 2.5% - 3.5% | 3.0% |
Fair Value | ₺15.75 - ₺22.90 | ₺18.61 |
Upside | -25.2% - 8.7% | -11.6% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
(TRY in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
Revenue | 1,316 | 1,480 | 1,591 | 1,647 | 1,680 | 1,714 | |
% Growth | 24.4% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | |
EBITDA | 215 | 280 | 316 | 328 | 334 | 341 | |
% of Revenue | 16.4% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 19.9% | 19.9% | 19.9% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
(TRY in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Terminal | |
EBITDA | 280 | 316 | 328 | 334 | 341 | 341 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (11) | (11) | (12) | (12) | (12) | (39) | |
EBIT | 269 | 305 | 316 | 322 | 329 | 302 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (73) | (82) | (85) | (87) | (89) | (81) | |
NOPAT | 149 | 196 | 223 | 231 | 235 | 240 | 220 |
Capital Expenditures | (15) | (36) | (38) | (40) | (40) | (41) | (41) |
NWC Investment | (73) | (46) | (31) | (16) | (9) | (9) | (14) |
(+) D&A | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 39 |
Free Cash Flow | 72 | 125 | 165 | 187 | 197 | 201 | 204 |
% Growth | 73% | 32% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% |