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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 12.5x - 13.8x | 13.2x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 9.4x - 10.4x | 9.9x |
Fair Value | €18.90 - €20.88 | €19.89 |
Upside | 3.3% - 14.2% | 8.7% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Evonik Industries AG | - | DB:EVK |
Umicore SA | - | DB:NVJP |
Tessenderlo Group NV | - | ENXTBR:TESB |
K+S Aktiengesellschaft | - | DB:SDF |
Wacker Chemie AG | - | DB:WCH |
Kemira Oyj | - | HLSE:KEMIRA |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
EVK | NVJP | TESB | SDF | WCH | KEMIRA | |||
DB:EVK | DB:NVJP | ENXTBR:TESB | DB:SDF | DB:WCH | HLSE:KEMIRA | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -21.7% | NM- | -14.9% | NM- | NM- | 17.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | -33.3% | NM- | -38.9% | NM- | -33.2% | 32.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 147.7% | -484.3% | -60.9% | -131.8% | -23.2% | 25.3% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.6% | -0.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -3.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.5% | -10.0% | 1.6% | -1.8% | 4.2% | 8.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 1.5% | -10.0% | 1.6% | -1.8% | 4.2% | 8.5% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | -41.7x | 5.1x | 5.1x | 4.2x | 5.6x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.5x | 0.1x | 0.5x | 0.6x | 0.5x | 1.0x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 37.2x | -1.3x | 31.0x | -32.7x | 12.4x | 11.4x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -32.7x | 12.4x | 37.2x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 8.1x | 14.5x | 17.0x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 12.5x | 13.2x | 13.8x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 249 | 249 | 249 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 3,118 | 3,282 | 3,446 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 154.4 | 154.4 | 154.4 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 20.19 | 21.25 | 22.32 | |||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 20.19 | 21.25 | 22.32 | 18.29 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 10.4% | 16.2% | 22.0% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | EVK | NVJP | TESB | SDF | WCH | KEMIRA | |
Value of Common Equity | 8,556 | 1,954 | 1,340 | 2,203 | 3,055 | 2,825 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 466.0 | 240.5 | 60.5 | 179.1 | 49.7 | 154.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 18.36 | 8.13 | 22.15 | 12.30 | 61.50 | 18.29 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 18.36 | 8.13 | 22.15 | 12.30 | 61.50 | 18.29 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |