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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 18.3x - 20.2x | 19.2x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 12.2x - 13.5x | 12.8x |
Fair Value | €80.72 - €90.48 | €85.60 |
Upside | 19.0% - 33.4% | 26.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
The Western Union Company | WU | NYSE:WU |
Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. | JKHY | NasdaqGS:JKHY |
Mastercard Incorporated | MA | NYSE:MA |
EVERTEC, Inc. | EVTC | NYSE:EVTC |
Visa Inc. | V | NYSE:V |
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | ZGY | DB:ZGY |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
WU | JKHY | MA | EVTC | V | ZGY | ||
NYSE:WU | NasdaqGS:JKHY | NYSE:MA | NYSE:EVTC | NYSE:V | DB:ZGY | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -6.0% | 5.3% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 3.0% | |
3Y CAGR | -10.4% | 5.1% | 16.4% | 1.2% | 14.6% | -11.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -10.5% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 28.5% | 9.5% | 14.3% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 24.5% | 26.6% | 59.7% | 35.0% | 69.5% | 31.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 23.7% | 26.4% | 61.1% | 28.6% | 70.0% | 29.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 22.6% | 24.9% | 61.6% | 30.1% | 69.5% | 30.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 22.1% | 26.1% | 61.8% | 30.5% | 69.7% | 30.5% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.01x | 5.70x | 17.73x | 3.27x | 17.62x | 4.79x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.6x | 21.9x | 28.7x | 10.7x | 25.3x | 15.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 5.6x | 24.6x | 30.3x | 15.6x | 26.4x | 21.3x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.6x | 21.9x | 28.7x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.8x | 17.2x | 27.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.3x | 19.2x | 20.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 3,107 | 3,107 | 3,107 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 56,783 | 59,772 | 62,760 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (7,301) | (7,301) | (7,301) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 49,482 | 52,471 | 55,459 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 523.5 | 523.5 | 523.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 94.52 | 100.23 | 105.94 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 81.49 | 86.42 | 91.34 | 67.83 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 20.1% | 27.4% | 34.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | WU | JKHY | MA | EVTC | V | ZGY | |
Enterprise Value | 4,180 | 13,198 | 513,855 | 2,842 | 661,322 | 48,487 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,289 | 40 | 7,894 | 266 | 13,751 | 805 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 26 | 1,598 | 39 | 1,470 | 3,985 | |
(-) Debt | (2,791) | (223) | (18,802) | (959) | (20,762) | (12,087) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (25) | (43) | 0 | (4) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (880) | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,677 | 13,041 | 504,520 | 2,144 | 654,901 | 41,186 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 330.5 | 72.8 | 908.0 | 63.6 | 1,872.2 | 523.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 8.10 | 179.09 | 555.61 | 33.71 | 349.81 | 78.67 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.10 | 179.09 | 555.61 | 33.71 | 349.81 | 67.83 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 |