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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.4x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.4x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
Fair Value | €1.66 - €1.83 | €1.75 |
Upside | 22.9% - 35.9% | 29.4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Skechers U.S.A., Inc. | - | NYSE:SKX |
Crocs, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:CROX |
Deckers Outdoor Corporation | - | NYSE:DECK |
NIKE, Inc. | - | KAS:NKE_KZ |
Steven Madden, Ltd. | - | NasdaqGS:SHOO |
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited | - | DB:YUE1 |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
SKX | CROX | DECK | NKE_KZ | SHOO | YUE1 | |||
NYSE:SKX | NasdaqGS:CROX | NYSE:DECK | KAS:NKE_KZ | NasdaqGS:SHOO | DB:YUE1 | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 11.3% | 27.2% | 18.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | -4.1% | ||
3Y CAGR | 12.4% | 21.0% | 16.5% | -0.3% | 7.0% | -1.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 10.7% | 2.1% | 16.3% | -9.8% | 10.3% | 5.4% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.7% | 21.5% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.8% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 3.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.1% | 23.2% | 19.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 7.0% | 23.4% | 19.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.2x | 7.0x | 11.3x | 24.8x | 7.3x | 4.9x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.0x | 1.5x | 3.2x | 2.4x | 0.8x | 0.3x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 14.9x | 6.2x | 16.3x | 34.0x | 11.4x | 7.0x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.8x | 1.5x | 3.2x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.3x | 0.5x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.4x | 0.4x | 0.4x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 8,208 | 8,208 | 8,208 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 3,170 | 3,336 | 3,503 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,605.5 | 1,605.5 | 1,605.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1.97 | 2.08 | 2.18 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.68 | 1.77 | 1.86 | 1.35 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 24.4% | 31.0% | 37.5% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | SKX | CROX | DECK | NKE_KZ | SHOO | YUE1 | |
Value of Common Equity | 9,458 | 5,961 | 15,794 | 113,559 | 1,884 | 2,547 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 149.6 | 56.1 | 149.4 | 1,476.9 | 69.4 | 1,605.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 63.22 | 106.31 | 105.69 | 76.89 | 27.14 | 1.59 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.18 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 63.22 | 106.31 | 105.69 | 76.89 | 27.14 | 1.35 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.18 |