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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.2x - 2.4x | 2.3x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 2.1x - 2.3x | 2.2x |
| Fair Value | €14.58 - €16.11 | €15.34 |
| Upside | -25.9% - -18.0% | -22.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Aozora Bank, Ltd. | 830,400.0% | TSE:8304 |
| Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. | 830,900.0% | TSE:8309 |
| JAPAN POST BANK Co., Ltd. | 718,200.0% | TSE:7182 |
| Banco Santander, S.A. | - | PINC:BCDR.F |
| The Musashino Bank, Ltd. | 833,600.0% | TSE:8336 |
| Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | - | DB:XMF |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 8304 | 8309 | 7182 | BCDR.F | 8336 | XMF | |||
| TSE:8304 | TSE:8309 | TSE:7182 | PINC:BCDR.F | TSE:8336 | DB:XMF | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -12.1% | -0.3% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -20.9% | -1.2% | 2.4% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -2.5% | 14.6% | -5.0% | 9.0% | -1.0% | 8.7% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -1.7% | 13.9% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 20.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.0% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 23.1% | 14.1% | 25.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -85.5% | 7.7% | 22.0% | 23.5% | 15.0% | 24.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -30.2% | 21.7% | 26.8% | NA | 17.2% | 28.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 4.3x | 2.1x | 3.4x | 1.8x | 1.3x | 3.0x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -14.3x | 9.5x | 12.6x | 7.6x | 7.6x | 10.5x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.3x | 2.1x | 4.3x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.7x | 2.3x | 3.4x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.2x | 2.3x | 2.4x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 4,244,871 | 4,244,871 | 4,244,871 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 9,186,175 | 9,669,658 | 10,153,141 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,884.4 | 3,884.4 | 3,884.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2,364.86 | 2,489.33 | 2,613.79 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 163.9 | 163.9 | 163.9 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.43 | 15.19 | 15.94 | 19.66 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -26.6% | -22.8% | -18.9% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 8304 | 8309 | 7182 | BCDR.F | 8336 | XMF | |
| Value of Common Equity | 270,673 | 2,432,073 | 5,073,307 | 94,449 | 99,409 | 12,518,772 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 138.4 | 711.5 | 3,603.2 | 14,939.8 | 33.1 | 3,884.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,956.00 | 3,418.00 | 1,408.00 | 6.32 | 3,005.00 | 3,222.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 163.93 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,956.00 | 3,418.00 | 1,408.00 | 7.15 | 3,005.00 | 19.66 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | USD | JPY | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 163.93 | |