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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.5% - 7.5% | 8.0% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 3.7x - 4.1x | 3.9x |
Fair Value | €13.79 - €14.90 | €14.34 |
Upside | -2.3% - 5.6% | 1.6% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(PLN in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 465 | 518 | 531 | 555 | 534 | 497 |
% Growth | 4.5% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | -3.8% | -6.9% |
EBITDA | 125 | 214 | 216 | 223 | 207 | 184 |
% of Revenue | 26.9% | 41.3% | 40.6% | 40.2% | 38.7% | 37.0% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(PLN in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 214 | 216 | 223 | 207 | 184 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (44) | (55) | (54) | (31) | (10) | |
EBIT | 170 | 161 | 169 | 176 | 174 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (29) | (27) | (29) | (30) | (30) | |
NOPAT | 78 | 141 | 134 | 140 | 146 | 145 |
Capital Expenditures | (10) | (83) | (70) | (68) | (65) | (65) |
NWC Investment | 7 | 18 | 5 | 8 | (7) | (12) |
(+) D&A | 32 | 44 | 55 | 54 | 31 | 10 |
Free Cash Flow | 106 | 120 | 123 | 134 | 105 | 77 |
% Growth | 13% | 3% | 9% | -22% | -27% |