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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 19.0x - 21.0x | 20.0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7.2x - 7.9x | 7.5x |
Fair Value | €6.06 - €6.51 | €6.28 |
Upside | -20.0% - -14.2% | -17.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Zalando SE | ZAL | XTRA:ZAL |
Maisons du Monde S.A. | ZMM | DB:ZMM |
BHG Group AB (publ) | 7B1 | DB:7B1 |
Leon's Furniture Limited | 74W | DB:74W |
Ceconomy AG | CEC | XTRA:CEC |
Westwing Group SE | WEW | DB:WEW |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ZAL | ZMM | 7B1 | 74W | CEC | WEW | ||
XTRA:ZAL | DB:ZMM | DB:7B1 | DB:74W | XTRA:CEC | DB:WEW | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 17.0% | NM- | NM- | 2.7% | 2.0% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | -2.7% | NM- | NM- | -12.8% | 24.1% | -45.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 75.5% | -375.1% | -96.8% | 3.4% | 46.4% | 169.6% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 9.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 2.2% | 2.9% | -1.4% | 7.6% | 0.8% | -1.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 3.7% | -8.9% | -3.3% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 3.7% | -8.9% | -3.3% | 7.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.65x | 0.67x | 0.63x | 0.64x | 0.06x | 0.24x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.8x | 5.1x | 21.4x | 7.3x | 2.8x | 17.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 17.4x | -7.6x | -19.1x | 8.4x | 4.9x | 32.8x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -19.1x | 4.9x | 17.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -28.1x | 11.7x | 59.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 19.0x | 20.0x | 21.0x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 61 | 64 | 67 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 35 | 35 | 35 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 96 | 99 | 103 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 18.8 | 18.8 | 18.8 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 5.11 | 5.28 | 5.45 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.11 | 5.28 | 5.45 | 7.58 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -32.6% | -30.4% | -28.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ZAL | ZMM | 7B1 | 74W | CEC | WEW | |
Enterprise Value | 6,830 | 694 | 6,962 | 1,570 | 1,302 | 107 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,677 | 91 | 451 | 325 | 2,491 | 69 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 96 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (1,726) | (696) | (2,839) | (426) | (2,592) | (33) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (196) | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 7,877 | 101 | 4,378 | 1,470 | 1,470 | 143 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 259.4 | 39.0 | 211.4 | 68.2 | 485.2 | 18.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 30.37 | 2.59 | 20.71 | 21.55 | 3.03 | 7.58 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 11.00 | 1.57 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 30.37 | 2.59 | 1.88 | 13.70 | 3.03 | 7.58 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 11.00 | 1.57 | 1.00 | 1.00 |