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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.8x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
| Historical Pb Multiple | 1.2x - 1.9x | 1.3x |
| Fair Value | €66.20 - €73.17 | €69.69 |
| Upside | -25.3% - -17.4% | -21.3% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Caterpillar Inc. | - | XTRA:CAT1 |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | - | DB:WB2 |
| Alstom SA | - | XTRA:AOMD |
| Siemens Aktiengesellschaft | - | XTRA:SIE |
| The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. | - | DB:G90 |
| Vossloh AG | - | DB:VOS |
| Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| CAT1 | WB2 | AOMD | SIE | G90 | VOS | |||
| XTRA:CAT1 | DB:WB2 | XTRA:AOMD | XTRA:SIE | DB:G90 | DB:VOS | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.1% | 26.5% | -20.5% | 11.9% | 17.6% | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 18.5% | 23.6% | NM- | 17.2% | 70.3% | 39.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -11.6% | 13.6% | 146.3% | 9.0% | 85.6% | 9.1% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.5% | 8.1% | 0.1% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.4% | 8.4% | -1.7% | 10.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.7% | 10.1% | 0.8% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.7% | 10.9% | 0.8% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | ||
| Return on Equity | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 42.6% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 58.5% | 7.9% | -3.5% | 16.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 55.7% | 10.8% | 1.5% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 8.6% | ||
| Next Fiscal Year | 46.5% | 14.7% | 7.4% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 9.4% | ||
| Two Fiscal Years Forward | 51.8% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| Price / LTM Sales | 3.2x | 3.2x | 0.5x | 2.3x | 0.4x | 1.4x | ||
| Price / LTM EPS | 20.5x | 29.3x | 71.6x | 22.5x | 6.3x | 29.3x | ||
| Price / Book | 11.3x | 3.1x | 1.0x | 3.1x | 1.0x | 2.4x | ||
| Price / Fwd Book | 10.8x | 3.2x | 0.9x | 3.3x | 0.9x | 2.2x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark P/B Ratio | 1.0x | 3.1x | 11.3x | |||||
| Historical P/B Ratio | 1.2x | 1.3x | 1.9x | |||||
| Selected P/B Multiple | 1.8x | 1.9x | 2.0x | |||||
| (x) Book Value | 718 | 718 | 718 | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CAT1 | WB2 | AOMD | SIE | G90 | VOS | |
| Value of Common Equity | 202,455 | 34,195 | 10,169 | 176,852 | 1,436 | 1,712 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 470.3 | 171.0 | 462.0 | 778.1 | 30.9 | 19.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 430.47 | 200.02 | 22.01 | 227.30 | 46.51 | 88.60 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 366.50 | 170.30 | 22.01 | 227.30 | 39.60 | 88.60 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |